суббота, 20 октября 2012 г.

Apollon Patras- Kao Dramas

My friends,i dont have time to write many word about this match
Its all about intuition and statistics....I have notebook for Esake 2012/2013 and in last tour, 1 first , all the dogs are win ,i speak about Handicap  +6.5...+3.5.. +26.5....In all 7 matches , you could  win if you put your money on Handicap +.....Today is 2 second tour.....And i think its perfect time to take handicap -

First match i take Apollon -Kao Dramas....I have -3.5 on Apollon
Look to the statistics from the 2011/2012 how this team play at home....
Appolon games at home in 2011/2012
 http://www.eurobasket.com/team.asp?Cntry=Greece&Team=277&page=2&Stats=2012
They win 13 -2 games at home

And now the games of Kao Dramas, witch team was much better like in this year....Remember that!!!
http://www.eurobasket.com/team.asp?Cntry=Greece&Team=1017&page=2&Stats=2012
Away matches they have this statistics ,they lost 11 matches and win 1 match in 1 points
What a fuck? About what think bookers?
Apollon have caracter, they show in last game....They lose by 12 points, and lose about 2 points
Full of motivation they can win the game today.....With teams like Kao Drama
My bet for today is ...I see victory of home team in 7-16 points ....

Apollon Patras- Kao Drama : Apollon win 1,6 (with OT)
                                             Apollon -3.5 @ 1.9 

понедельник, 15 октября 2012 г.

IKAROS - APOLLON PATRAS

Today, i have a bet,from my inside intuition.....I start to look at this team after they fuck very hard Panionios....

22.09.2012 Panionios - Apollon 44 -60(13 -17/ 10-14/ 14-18 / 7-11)

Who the fuck is Appolon? This is team from Greek Esake B league, and this season they play in first division
Maybe its not so good team....But....They have STRONG DEFENCE
44 points from Panionios? This serious.....after i have another match from frendly match-es...

14.09.2012 Paok - Apollon 57-44 (14-11/ 11-11/20-9/ 12-13)

Ok,Paok and Panionios in this season are better team like Ikaros....And for 76 points like bookers give to this team....You must to work hard, and have stability in the game....

Ikaros and Stability are differents things....19+19+19+18= 75....

But....When i see statistics, i can propose Appolon can stop Ikaros in 1-2 quarter on the 12-14 poinst....And we have Value in the future quarter?

For exemple they score in the first period 13 points....We have bonus 19+19 +19 (+ 5 virtual) ...
That this means 13 + 21 +21+20 = 75.....

Ok but if they score in the second period 14 points....We have
13 +14 + 24 +24 = 75 points....

Take a look here .Appolon matches....
http://www.eurobasket.com/team.asp?Cntry=Greece&Team=380&page=2&Stats=2012

Take a look her...Ikaros Matches....
http://www.eurobasket.com/team.asp?Cntry=Greece&Team=380&page=2&Stats=2012

And think.....

I propose to see Ikaros at the end from 63 to 69 points....My prediction is Under for home team

IKAROS - APOLLON : IKAROS Under(TM) 76 points @ 1,9  ..............75 %
                                                        Under 146.5 @ 1,9 ( all game)............25%

суббота, 13 октября 2012 г.

KAO Drama - PANIONIOS

I am very happpy because ESAKE start :) They have something like Lock Out,but finnaly Greek Esake League start....Yestarday i put some money on IIysiakos +7.5 with Kavala, and IIsyakos win ...Greece basketball league is full of surprises...And here i like more than in other league to bet on DOGS, especially on Handicap with +.....+6.5 ....+7.5 this is my favourite bets...When i think the teams are at the same level, but bookers looking only statistics from the lasta year....
What about this match? If you look KAO Drama from 2011/2012, i must think that this very strog Team at home ,if we dont take matches with Olympiakos and Panathinaikos....Maybe....But last year they have 6 strong players,who scores more then 65% of points for KAO Drama.....And now where are this players?
They go in others clubs...team are changed totaly...

I know well many teams from this league,beacause i bet more than 5 years ,in each week ...And i study everything what is about the form of teams, and i look many games in last 5 years with participation of Greek teams....

6 players from KAO Drama
1)Kostas Haralambidis -http://www.esake.gr/main/index.php?pl=42&lng=gr&pfpar=bGVhZ3VlPTQmbGVnPTcmcGxheWVyX2lkPTk5OA==
Played 22 games  for KAODrama and have 15,6 points and 28,3 minutes /for 1 game medium
Now he play for PAOK

2)Dragan Ceranic (Serbian) center, leader of the team in many games,now play for Etha(Cyprus)

3)Edin Bavcic (Bosnia) -Power Forward ,good shooter, play in the Past for Cantu,Aris,and Vanoli, now he play for Limoge (France)

4)Athanasios Karydas- one of te best playmakers from this team, he played more than 30-33 minutes in every match...Guard,and good 3point shooter...Now he move to Koroivos (Greece)

5)Jeremy Hunt- Universal player,athletic with smart playing...2-3 points shooter ,guard, now he play for Oradea (Romania)

6) Gary Flowers -american athletic forward ,now he play in USA....

If you ont one exemle...This is the link for match from the last year KAO Drama- PAOK 93-72....
In this game you can look to statistics to see who score all the points....after , look at the players who leave this club....http://www.eurobasket.com/boxScores/Greece/2012/0104_1017_269.asp
One exemple to see ...From 93 points of KAOD 68 points score...Ceranic+Bavcic+Haralambidis+Hunt+Karydas

Team are changed,and i dont see a lot of big names in this team....

What about Panionios? This team with Kollosos and AGORethymno are the best teams from Greece, if we dont take Oly and PAO....Panionios this year is much stronger.....Especialy this team play very agressive DEFENCE......And i really dont understand how KAO Dramas can score more than 76 points?
19+19+19+18= 75 ....You must fight to score 75 points,especially if you are Greek team from middle,and you Play with Panionios.!!!
In this team we have Strahija Dragicevic(from Cr.Zvezda and Kevranos)....2 very good players from Greece
Giorgos Bogris (from Aris) and the best scorer from Paok 2011/2012 Nikos Papas....

I see a big value in this match for Panionios,i take it in Saturday thi bet Panionios win 2,36

But now i recomand 2 bets....I see a away win from 6-12 points for Panionios,and KAO Drama Under 75.5

KAO Drama  - Panionios :  PANIONIOS P2 @ 2,25
                                           KAO Drama Under(TM) 75,5 points 

Szolnoki Olaj - KK Buducnost

I expect to see Szolnoki favourite in this match...But my virtual line here is Buducnost -5,5. I think is the best time to get away win for Montenegrin team.After they win match with MZT, team from Podgorica is full of confidence.And like Vitkovac(player from Buducnost) say :Its perfect time to show caracter and get a win away...
Rondonjic(coach) say in press conference :The key for win this match will be the hard defence,and especialy to close the best player from hungarian team Marton Bader.....If they ca do that,the game will be in the hands of Buducnost.....
Personaly i think Buducnost is much better team, and with energy,quality,and defence....they win this match more than 7-10 points
This is my prediction....If they ont to go in the final 4 of Adriatic League
They must to win away match-es....And first win will come from Hungary

Szolnoki Olaj - KK Buducnost: Buducnost win @ 2,06 ( with OT)
                                                  Buducnost +1.5@ 1.9

воскресенье, 7 октября 2012 г.

KK Buducnost- KK MZT Skopje

I dont have time to write many words about this match...I know that Buducnost is very motivated in this match,after 2 loses, its time for first win....They have -13 after 2 matches...We can suppose Buducnot ont win more than 13 points in this match...To have + balance on table....
In 2011/2012 this team play very well at home....
Its time for the firt win in Morac Arena for Montenegrin team .....I see +10 ..+17 points win for Buducnost

Buducnost - MZT : BUDUCNOST -6.5 @ 1.9 

пятница, 5 октября 2012 г.

KK Cibona Zagreb - KK Partizan Beograd



Lets start ,my  english trip in Adriatic basketball....With russian  its The END....I see people from Romania, Serbia, Croatia,Bosnia,Montenegro are 60% of visitors of  my blog....40% are from betonbasket.ru/forum...Russian side of Europe,(Ukraine,Belarus,Russia).Where many knows me,and there i have many friens..But its not so important ,what is more important for me...And for people who reading this blog ....It's result,and profit....

Today we have match ,between Zagreb and Beograd(Belgrad) or Croatia and Serbia..
Maybe this teams are not from the same city....But,this is the biggest DERBY ,in ex-Yugoslavian 
club-basketball
CIbona vs Partizan....Every time its very hot,and players from croatian and serbian side are
very motivated....
Peoples who read this and are from Serbia and Croatia..
.Understand very well what kind of fellings are in this kind of
match-es.....Ok, history and politics we let for the next time...

Partizan basketball this year is changed about 75%... Old Players like Kecman
,Bozic are leaved the team, and also
Macvan,Raduljica,Katic,Davon James and Iaramaz...
.This season Partizan is a very young team, very agressive,and
especially etremely athletic...


Thomas Torey (Metros)
Leo Westermann (ASVEL)
Drew Gordon (UCLA)
Dejan Musli (Mega Vizura)

They are new commers in the Team...I ont to remarc a BIG talent, in the future you will see....The second Nikola Pekovic!! It is Dejan Musli, a BIG talent of Serbian Basketball....

You can look statistics of this player in 2 match-es with Zadar and KRKA, 

Ok,but in this team  we have also young players who 2 years play in Euroleague,with teams ,and of course away games ....Olympiakos, Panathinaikos, Montepaschi, AJ Milano, Real Madrid,Caha Laboral,Efes...

This guys like :

They know what to do on the floor,belive me....And this guys have a mentality of winner, they have 20-23 years,but they are 2-3 times Champions of Serbia,and Adriatic League ,in 2010-2011...
Take a look about this match ...Partizan-Zadar, its fresh game ;)

See the best moment in match from 1:49:50  - 2: 14: 49 ...score is 51-57 Zadar,and 5 minutes to play in the
last quarter...Final score?  81-74 ( 30-17 in 5 minutes!!) ....Young players.....;)


CIBONA....That about Cibona, i understand very well they are very motivater....But this team at moment its soo poor!!! In april-may 2012 ,when they play in CRoatian Championship...They were very strong
But Cibona sold all the best players this summer: ....BEST PLAYERS!! 


And now? This team lose at home to MZT and away to Szolnoki from Hungary....Rozic,Kus,and Zubcic are s tired and they dont have chemestry in game....LIke one serb say

Cibona je koma i katastrofa.;) Cibona mess and disaster.

If i was bookmaker, my line in this match was -9.5 on Partizan....The best line for all tip-sitters who ont to put some big money on CIbona at home +9.5...Its a Fucking Value!! The best Bet in weekend....joking ;)

But the coach of Partizan say:

Gašić: Neće biti lako u Zagrebu
Gasic: It will not be easy in Zagreb

Gospodin je htio reći zapravo : "Neće biti lako u Zagrebu dobit 20 razlike, ali 15 to je već puno realnije". .

Mister Gasic is really trying to say:
 "It will not be easy in Zagreb, its difficult to fuck  them in  20 points, but 15 that's a much more realistic ;))))

Partizan will be the sweetest " DOG" in bets ...especially in Euroleague in Pioner Arena....Remeber my words.....

Frendly match in Slovenia...But who is Khimky and who is Partizan in 2012/2012....Think!!!

Dusko Vujosevic is fucking clever coach, and his tactics its all about HARD and Agresive Defence....After fast counter-atack!! Cibona when lose control of game...They  causing many fouls....And this is a perfect time to get 1) 7-0  2) 9-0  3) 11-2 ...partial periods in game ;)

Partizan - Himki 68-56   15-09.2012

CIBONA - PARTIZAN : PARTIZAN -3 @ 1,9 (Big stake...for me)







среда, 3 октября 2012 г.

KK Partizan Beograd...my mentality!!

Hello my friends,i see , how i start to write about bets on Adriatic Basketball, more than 50% from visitors are from Serbia,Croatia,Montenegro,Bosnia, and today also from F.Y.R.O.Macedonia....
I think in english will be better,because in latin-russian understand only the people who know me ,from www.betonbasket.ru/forum....They understand my language:)...But other poeple....don't understand nothing!!
My native language is romanian,a i am from Republic of Moldova,i am Moldavian ,my name is Ion (John)....And my passion is ex-yugoslavian basketball,especialy Adriatic League, and Esake Basketball League from Greece....And off course Water Polo....
Everything is for free....This is my hobby,and my passion from 2005 ,i bet 7 and soon 8 years on this championship....I am not the best capper or bettor, in this league....But i have intuition,experience, a and some own vision....and .

....knowledge about history ,tradition,and some peculiar things about all the teams from this league

If you write correctly on google-search for exemple MZT Skopje – KK Široki Brijeg, 
you will se link of my blog..


Adriatic and Greek Basketball 2012/2013: KK MZT Skopje - HKK Siroki 

Who the fuck is MZT Skopje? Gde oni ... MZT sdelal sensatziu v proshlom ture, nu i shto? ... KK MZT Skopje - HKK Siroki HKK Siroki Brijeg +7.5@1,87 (parimatch ...


Some-thing like this, only the key words:)From today, i will start to write only in english....
.I have some ideas about the match-es from 3 Tour.....
I have my notebook where i write each tour and each match, and bets from my bookmakers,
results,and after I analyze the possibilities for the next tourFor me,maybe for somebody is a
 BIG JOKE...the best bookmaker in Adriatic League is www.parimatch.comEvery time ,
they are original compared  other bookmakers....They have their point of view....
See you on next tour Saturday;)

KK MZT Skopje - HKK Siroki

Esti takaia fraza na latinskom yazyke ,nazyvaetsea ona tak FINIS CORONAT OPUS !! English - The end crowns the work Russian- Конец венчает дело Serbian- Крајњи круне рад Croatian- Na kraju krunice rad Ia pocemu tak gavariu, moi nos, moia ciuica, ciustvuet DEJA-VU....V Adriaticeskoi lige katoryi povtareatsea iz god-a v god.....Moi stavka ne obosnovana matematiceski i statesticeski na etat match... U menea rasclad po etoi igre ,ideot protiv standartnoi logike..... Pomnetsea mne match-i kogda ne igrali po 3-4 igraka....I fora srazu menealasi, iz +3.5 stanavilosi v +15.5 Primer? Match Cedevita - Zadar, na kubke Horvatii 2 goda nazad...Zadar zaevil shto budut tolika 5 igrakov,katoryie igrali vse 40 minut....I obygrali Cedevitu...No eta tak kak primer.... No u menea drugoi vapros? Who the fuck is MZT Skopje? Gde oni byli do-sih por? Igrali v kakomta Evro-Kubke? ia cestno ne pomniu....I kak komanda mojet tak silna podneatsea v glaza bookmakerov za 4 dnia.. +9.5 s Cibona v gosteah, komanda uje ideot s foroi -6.5 doma protiv Cempiona Bosnii? No dela drugom,linia vyshla s -2.5...I postepena za 24 cesa ,ona podnealasi na 4 ocika....No ciustvuetsea shto kto-ta gde-ta silna gruzit na etu komandu.... MZT sdelal sensatziu v proshlom ture, nu i shto? Eta uje lider Adriaticeskoi lige? Videl ia takih komand ,posle odnavo velikolepnova match-a....Posle bolishoi Euforii, padali na zemliu....i prizemlealisi/... Pocemu nam daiut etat match samyi poslednii ,vecerom.....Eta kak klubnica na tort, kak samyi ocevidnyi favorit pri polnom zale, s poderjkoi, budet ubivati slabova,bednova Cempiona Bosnii, katoryi rastalsea na dniah s odnim igrakom Morovic,katoryi sygral 20 min....I zabil 4 ocika...Evo vygnali... Davaite,Davaite , 3-oh kratnova Cempiona Bosnii,svranivaem s Govnom!! S proshlava goda ostalsea Kosteak ,ushli Collins,Vladovic, i Pilepic....No ostalisi Sakic,Ramljac,Darco Planinic,Delibor Persi,Boris Barac,dabavilsea odin iz lutshih iz 2011/12 iz Hemofarm-a...Marko Sutalo.... Ia scaju tak,eta komand uje 3 goda podread igraet v etoi lige...I hvataet im opyta....Shto ia pomniu s proshlava sezona, kogda vse eti igraki pro katoryh ia napisal.....Igrali v gosteah? Ne pomnite? Napomniu... 16.03.2012 Загреб Широки бриег 48:72 31.01.2012 Раднички Крагуевац Широки бриег 86:93 03.12.2011 Олимпия Широки бриег 50:78 06.11.2011 Златорог Широки бриег 53:78 15.10.2011 КРКА Широки бриег 71:73 08.10.2011 Гелиос Широки бриег 90:92 Tak vot, dumaiu dlea Siroki eta budet ne takoi uj vanyi match,i silna perejivati oni ne budut....Ne ispugali ih fanaty KRKA, Radnicki v proshlom gadu...Dumaiu iz fanaty iz Macedonii toje ne ispugaiut..... A rebeata iz MZT budut kak ne kak ,no budut nervniceati....I magu predpalajiti ,shto im prideotsea dogoneati Bosniiskuiu komandu.....Adriatica bez RAZVODOV eta ne Adriatica ;) ...Tak davaite igrati protiv Razvoda ;) Ne udivliusi esli Siroki Brieg sevodnea obygraet v gosteah MZT..... Parimatch eta ponel i dal nameok......Ia eta uje ponel,posmotrim seceas v 13.00 po Kievu,kogda vyidet prognoz kak povliaet na etu kantoru.... P.S- Moi politiceskii vzglead....shto kasaetsea etava match-a...MACEDONIA is Greece.... Ukrali mleati Greceskoe istoriceskoe nazvanie, vsea severnaia Ceasti Greece nazyvaetsea Macedonia..... KK MZT Skopje - HKK Siroki HKK Siroki Brijeg +7.5@1,87 (parimatch,osnovnaia stavka) HKK Siroki Brijeg P2 @ 3.35 s OT